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Systematic sampling: random start and list order

A systematic sample can have equal unit inclusion chances while allowing only a limited set of sample combinations.

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Write the start and interval

In a fictional ordered list of eight units, choose start 1 or 2 with equal probability and take every second unit. The possible samples are positions 1,3,5,7 and 2,4,6,8. Each position is selected with probability 1/2.

Compare the restricted sample sets

The design has two possible samples of four units. A size-four simple random sample from eight units has 70 possible subsets. Equal unit chances do not make the two designs identical.

Investigate recurring patterns

If odd positions all carry value 10 and even positions all carry value 30, the systematic mean is either 10 or 30. The population mean is 20. Random start keeps the estimator centered at 20 across repetitions, but does not prevent large realized errors.

Keep the ordering in the research record

Systematic design details
FieldWhy it matters
Ordering ruleMay align with periodic values
Start distributionDefines the randomization
Sampling intervalDefines the selected positions
Endpoint handlingAvoids an unstated rule for leftover units

Further references