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Discount-rate direction for positive future receipts

For this conventional schedule, a lower discount rate increases the present value of the future receipt.

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Fix the cash flows

Use the fictional schedule −1,000 now and +1,200 at time one. Hold those amounts and dates fixed while changing only the per-interval discount rate. This isolates a mathematical rate effect, not a full change in project risk.

Compare selected rates

Rate-only sensitivity
RateNPV
5%142.857143
10%90.909091
15%43.478261

Explain the denominator

The future receipt is divided by 1 + r. For these nonnegative future amounts, reducing r raises their present value and therefore raises NPV. Using a rate too low would overstate value under this fixed schedule, not understate it.

Do not assume every schedule is monotonic

A later negative cleanup amount changes the profile and can alter the direction over some ranges. The earlier two-IRR example illustrates a different sign pattern. Inspect the actual future flows before extending this simple direction rule.

Further references