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One-stage and two-stage cluster sampling

A cluster design selects groups, then collects all or selected units from the chosen groups.

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Identify the first-stage group

A fictional audit groups records into eight equal-sized branches. The branch is the first-stage selection unit. Selecting a branch and selecting an individual record are different random events and should have separate entries in the plan.

State what happens inside a selected group

Design structure
DesignFirst stageInside selected clusters
One-stageRandomly select clustersObserve every unit
Two-stageRandomly select clustersRandomly select some units

Follow both stages for a unit probability

If two of eight branches are selected uniformly and ten of fifty records are selected uniformly within each chosen branch, a particular record has inclusion probability (2/8) × (10/50) = 0.05. This relies on the explicitly stated equal group sizes and selection rules.

Read the design’s uncertainty separately from its cost

Records from the same branch may be similar. Treating all collected records as independent can miss that structure. Additional stages can reduce collection effort, but their precision depends on allocations and dependence. There is no universal ranking of error based only on the number of stages.

Further references