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Interpreting a paired-return beta fit

The original fit reports beta 2.1, intercept 1.2% and R² about 97.350993% for the supplied observations.

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Start from the original paired data

Original hypothetical period returns
PeriodBenchmark (%)Asset (%)
1-2-3
2-1-0.5
301
412.5
526

Read different measures

Original output interpretation
MeasureValueMeaning
Slope2.1Fitted asset response to one benchmark-return unit
Intercept1.2%Fitted asset return at benchmark zero
Residual standard error0.632456 percentage pointsResponse-error scale calculation with n−2 divisor
R²97.350993%In-sample variation ratio
Correlation0.986666 approximatelySigned standardized association

Use the points and period table

A high fit score leaves room for deviations and model issues. Compare each observed asset return with the fitted line, then inspect signed residuals and the relevant period identity. The line is not extended as a future forecast.

Preserve the evidence for interpretation

Record the actual benchmark, source window and return basis. A change in date pairing or unit convention can alter a slope without changing the separate input means. Inference requires a specified model and uncertainty method beyond these descriptive outputs.

Further references